基于集成学习的交通拥堵预测模型

TIAN Yu HOU Qian-bao DOU Dan TANG Jian

Computer & Telecommunication ›› 2020, Vol. 1 ›› Issue (4) : 60-63.

Computer & Telecommunication ›› 2020, Vol. 1 ›› Issue (4) : 60-63.

  • Traffic Congestion Prediction Model Based on Integrated Learning
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Abstract

The current navigation software has obvious inaccurate speed assessment when facing some serious traffic congestion, and cannot accurately predict the duration of the traffic congestion. Therefore, we propose a traffic congestion prediction model to accu- rately predict the congestion time in the face of most congestion situations through the prediction of speed. Regarding the speed pre- diction model, we select high-similarity samples based on the KNN algorithm. The prediction speed model is divided into two main models, KNN-VA and KNN-RBF, and we use an integrated learning method to fuse these two models to obtain more accurate aver- age speed prediction. Then, the congestion time can be predicted. In order to determine the congestion time, we use the RBF speed prediction method and the sampling method in a fixed area to verify. The results show that the model has high reliability for conges- tion time prediction.

Key words

congestion prediction / KNN / RBF / integrated learnin

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